Can San Diego catch lightning in a bottle twice, and upset New England this Sunday? A website called AccuScore (any relation to AccuWeather?) has run over 10,000 simulations of the AFC Championship Game in Foxboro.

And makes things a little more interesting, AccuScore decided to throw in various factors to see if personnel or locale changes would effect the outcomes.

Would having Philip Rivers or Billy Volek behind center make a difference? Is allowing LaDainian Tomlinson to languish on the sidelines a big loss?

According to the simulations, it wouldn’t matter - the Pats came out victorious in 90% of the pseudo contests.

And LT doesn’t appear to be as big as a factor, as the Chargers won 10.6% of their games with Tomlinson, and 9.5% without. The same goes for Rivers, as SD wins 10.6% with Philip, 9.8% without.

If both Rivers & LT aren’t playing, Charger victories go down to 8.1% But if everyone’s healthy, and the game goes down in Qualcomm instead of Gillette Stadium, San Diego’s success leaps up to 28.8%

Overall, shocking as it may seem, expect the Patriots to make reservations for Glendale for Super Bowl XLII. And the computers usually know best - they’ve been a vital part of the BCS, and look how well that’s turned out.